Four signals, each measured out-of-sample, covering every stage of the cycle. Two independent PhD reviews validated them.
SANTA BARBARA, Calif., Sept. 9, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — Cronus Market Intelligence, LLC today said RegimeSignal™ predicts the full S&P 500 cycle, with four signals averaging 84% precision when they fire: bear 86%, correction 84%, pullback 83%, recovery 82%.
Each figure is the share of fires that were correct, measured out-of-sample. Recovery, the lowest at 82%, is a historical upper bound and the signal the PhD reviews qualified.
RegimeSignal also screens individual stocks, sectors and global indexes, and issues a report on any name covered. Those layers are coverage; the 84% covers the four S&P 500 signals only.
The PhD reviews reproduced the bear, pullback and correction signals against their locked results, concluding “Validated with Qualifications.” A separate engineer force-simulated all four regime states and returned VERIFIED.
“RegimeSignal’s software operates as designed. Its values and signals are driven by live data,” said Babulal Sah, ISTQB Certified Tester, independent reviewer.
“Most models tell you it is a bull market,” said Kip Lytel, CFA, founder of Cronus Market Intelligence. “Ours tells you where in the cycle you are, and what fires next.”
At the September 8 close RegimeSignal rates the S&P 500 as Bull Strengthening, the Composite Market Score at 67.8, OFFENSE, and no risk cycle signal firing. Its year-end range of 7,892 to 8,542, struck August 4, is fixed at publication and can be marked right or wrong on December 31.
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About Cronus Market Intelligence, LLC
Cronus Market Intelligence, LLC (cronusmarketintelligencellc.com) is a Delaware limited liability company and developer of RegimeSignal™, a market-prediction data-analytics platform for the S&P 500. Cronus is not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer; RegimeSignal™ is informational only, not advice. RegimeSignal™ and HybridBrain™ are trademarks pending.
Results reflect historical walk-forward out-of-sample testing and are hypothetical; past results do not guarantee future results. Precision figures cover the four S&P 500 signals only, not the stock, sector and index layers. The year-end range is not a price target and rests on a small sample. See disclosures at regimesignalai.com/disclosures.
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